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#forecasting
2 articles exploring forecasting. Expert insights and analysis from our editorial team.
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AI Research
Swarm AI for Prediction Markets: Collective Intelligence Gets an Algorithm
MiroFish, an open-source swarm intelligence engine with 20k+ GitHub stars, deploys thousands of AI agents to simulate social dynamics and forecast outcomes. Early benchmarks suggest multi-agent collective reasoning can match human crowd accuracy, but the gap between simulation and validated prediction remains wide.
Machine Learning
Google's TimesFM: A Foundation Model for Time Series
TimesFM is Google's pretrained, decoder-only transformer model for zero-shot time-series forecasting, trained on ~100 billion real-world time-points to deliver accurate predictions across domains without retraining.